GLOBAL THREE-WAY BATTLE AND SOCIAL LOSSES DUE TO MASS DEMONSTRATIONS IN 2025

Indonesia has become a laboratory for non-military subversive operations, on par with Russia, China, and India.

Social Losses in Southeast Asia

1. Indonesia (Jakarta, 2025)

• Damage to public assets in Jakarta reached IDR 50.4 billion. (7)
• National losses were estimated at IDR 900 billion to IDR 1.2 trillion. (8), (9).
• ​​Estimated total social losses were USD 125–312 million.

2. Nepal (Kathmandu, 2025)

• The “Gen Z Uprising” caused direct losses of IDR 3 trillion (over USD 22.7 billion) (10).
• Tourism plummeted by 30% (11)
• Estimated social losses were USD 45–113 billion.

3. The Philippines (Manila, 2025)

• Student and labor protests pressured the pro-US government.
• Estimated social losses were USD 40–120 million per day.

4. Social Losses in Western Countries
5. France (Paris, 2025)

• Major labor protests in September 2025 paralyzed transportation and schools. (12).
• Direct losses: €500 million – €1 billion.
• Estimated social losses: USD 1.1–5.5 billion.

1. New York and other major cities (2025)
2. Major protests related to racial and economic issues result in losses to businesses and infrastructure.
3. Estimated social losses: USD 400 million – 1.2 billion. (13)

Strategic Analysis

1. Global capitalists are using NGO funds to undermine anti-neoliberal regimes.
2. Trump's ultra-nationalist reject globalism, but domestic polarization is also costly.
3. China/BRICS are prime targets for destabilization, with Indonesia of particular note due to its support for Palestine.
4. Russia and India remain targets. Russia through human rights issues, China through minority issues, and India through farmer movements.

Conclusions

The general public is the primary victim of this three-way global conflict. The disbursement of NGO funds has resulted in extraordinary social losses: from hundreds of millions to tens of billions of dollars in Southeast Asia, France, and the United States, along with the potential to undermine the stability of Russia, China, India, and Indonesia.

This phenomenon underscores the need for countries to build social resilience and develop a philosophy of intelligence to distinguish between legitimate people's movements and global subversive operations.**

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